Page 29 - Журнал «Русский Берег» #12-2022
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RUSSIAN COAST | № 4/12 2022       БИЗНЕС | BUSINESS


                                             its own economy. All this provoked the   nonetheless be saturated, - says Alexandra
                                             devaluation of the hryvnia against the   Kostenko.
                                             currency by almost 100%. As a result,   It is also worth noting that the situation on
          Пузырь на рынке недвижимости       many home buyers found themselves in   the market is pushing the developers to sell
                                                                                apartments in bulk to various “investors”.
                                             a desperate situation, and were forced
          является разновидностью            to pay 1.5–2 times larger amounts on   Hoping to get some speculative income
          экономического пузыря              the foreign currency loans against the   after some time, they are actively buying
          и обычно следует за земельным      background of the inflation and rising   up real estate at the project stage. The
          бумом. Земельный бум —             unemployment.                      developer is generally satisfied with this. He
                                               Naturally, the value of real estate in
                                                                                is guaranteed to get his 15% and to start the
          это быстрый рост рыночных          Kyiv on the primary market in the foreign   next project. However, the new standards,
          цен на недвижимость,               currency fell by almost USD 1,000 (from   associated with the high cost of the land,
          в частности на жильё, пока они     USD 2,950 in August 2008 down to USD   the rise in the cost of materials, skilled labor,
          не достигнут неприемлемого         2,020 in April 2009), but it practically   etc. often force one to neglect quality, and
                                             remained at the same level in the national
                                                                                not so much the quality of the construction
          уровня, а затем не снизятся.       currency due to the devaluation of the   - it's no secret that the new complexes have
          На вопросы о том, можно ли         hryvnia.                           “cardboard” walls, and one can clearly
          выявить и предотвратить              A repetition of such a situation in Turkey   hear what the neighbor is watching on
          появление пузырей на рынке         is unlikely. First of all, the real estate market   TV, - but the quality of life in the future, so
                                             of the region of Alanya-Antalya is aimed
                                                                                to say. If earlier the average area of     a 1+1
          недвижимости и имеют ли            at the foreigners, who buy apartments with   apartment was 60-70 m , now it is not
                                                                                                  2
          они более широкое                  their own money, and pay in the foreign   uncommon for projects to have 42, and
                                                                                        2
          макроэкономическое значение,       currency, not local lira. On the other hand,   even 36 m , and by tradition, this includes
          школы экономической                the amount of the lands for the construction   the balconies, landings and infrastructure
                                                                                shares, calculated in some cunning way.
                                             is decreasing every year.
          мысли отвечают по-разному            – A limited resource always only grows   Whether these apartments will find their
          (Wikipedia).                       in value. Therefore, the Turkish real estate   buyer when the demand subsides is a big
                                             will also retain a large potential for the price  question!
                                             growth, since it is still the most affordable for   According to Alexandra Kostenko, a
                                             the investors, as compared with real estate   situation may arise that in 2023 the prices in
                                             in Europe or the UAE. My guess is that the   the secondary market will drop by 30-40%.
                                             prices can at least double. Therefore, we do  First of all, there will be a wave of a feverish
          Но через полгода они осознают, что   not recommend our clients to wait for the   demand due to the war in the Ukraine,
          не могут позволить себе содержать не-  price reductions in Alanya, - emphasizes   when many people buy apartments with
          движимость и не в состоянии заработать   Vyacheslav Fomenko, the owner of Hayat   the last of their money. But in six months
          на жизнь, и будут вынуждены продавать   Estate.                       they will realize that they cannot afford
          жильё с дисконтом.                   Editorial note: In Russia, after 2014, there   themselves to maintain the property, and
            Таких владельцев квартир могут быть   was also a drop in the property prices, but   are unable to earn a living, and will be
          сотни. И такие «дисконтные» квартиры,   this could not be called a consequence of   forced to sell the housing at a discount.
          безусловно, могут реально сбить цену   the “economic boom”. The ruble fell against   There may be hundreds of such apartment
          и спрос в новых проектах. Их могут   the main currencies by almost half, and the   owners. And such “discount” apartments,
          выкупать, в первую очередь, агентства   prices, denominated in rubles, rose slightly   of course, can really bring down the price
          недвижимости, а потом продавать по ры-  by 15-20%. Then many foreign currency   and demand in the new projects. They can
          ночным ценам. Однако если ограниче-  borrowers suffered, but the reasons for this   be redeemed, first of all, by the real estate
          ния по ВНЖ не будут отменены, то под   phenomenon were political, rather than   agencies, and then sold at the market prices.
          большим вопросом окажется привлека-  economic.                        However, if the restrictions on the residence
          тельность инвестиций для иностранцев.                                 permits are not lifted, then the big question
          Александра Костенко приводит пример:    THE PRICES ARE AT             remains, who will buy this housing?
          в ближайшие пару лет только в одном         THEIR PEAK                  Alexandra Kostenko provides an
          районе Аланьи — Каргыджаке — будет   At the same time, the red flags are raised.  example: only in one district of Alanya -
          построено 800 квартир. Возникает     - The real estate market in Alanya is   Kargicak 800 apartments will be built in the
          вопрос, кто купит это жильё?       already “overheated”, and apartments,   next couple of years. The question arises,
            — Сегодня цены на пике — выгодно   often, are already sold here at the prices   who will buy this housing?
          продавать недвижимость, а не покупать   of Spain. But as long as the demand   – Today, prices are at their peak – it is
          её, — считает Александра.          remains high, the prices will continue to rise.  profitable to sell real estate, not to buy it, –
                                             Perhaps, this will continue for another six   believes Alexandra.
                        (Продолжение следует).  months or more, and then the market will            (to be continued)

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