Page 41 - Журнал «Русский Берег» #13-2022

RUSSIAN COAST | № 5/13 2022 БИЗНЕС | BUSINESS

нечном итоге будет определять инвести- fruits and vegetables. That is why, the real wave of such demand has already passed
ционный спрос. И первая «ажиотажная» estate here will always be in price. One in March-July, the second will take place
волна такого спроса уже прошла в мар- way or another. Turkey has turned out to in October-November 2022, but it is
те-июле, вторая ожидается в октябре-но- be the harbor, where it is most convenient expected that it will be much more modest
ябре 2022 года, но предполагается, что and cheapest to wait out the times of crisis, than the first. Then, until the presidential
она будет куда скромнее первой. Затем even taking into account the rise in the real and parliamentary elections in Turkey in
до президентских и парламентских выбо- estate prices, - sums up Ksenia Baldzhi. June 2023, there will be a “lull” in the real
ров в Турции в июне 2023 года наступит Therefore, it is most likely that the next year estate market. What will happen next and
«затишье» на рынке недвижимости. Что the demand for the real estate from the how the political and economic course
будет потом и как изменится полити- citizens of the Russian Federation will not of Turkey will change will become known
ческий и экономический курс Турции, only remain at the same level, but may only by the results of the elections, and the
станет известно только по результатам even increase. experts do not undertake to predict them.
выборов, а их предсказать эксперты If the rate remains the same, most likely the
не берутся. Если курс останется прежним, AS LONG real estate market for the foreign investors
то, вероятнее всего, рынок недвижимости AS THERE IS DEMAND, will continue to be a “tasty morsel”.
для иностранных инвесторов продолжит THERE IS GROWTH! Although, the experts do not expect
оставаться «лакомым» кусочком. Хотя Alanya remains one of the most such a boom in 2023 as in 2022, when
эксперты не ожидают в 2023 году такого investment-attractive regions of the apartments were feverishly bought up in
ажиотажа, как в 2022 году, когда кварти- Mediterranean coast of Turkey. For the the project at the “pencil” stage. Most
ры лихорадочно скупали в проекте ещё period 2021-2022, in January, the overall likely, the Turkish real estate in the next two
на этапе «карандаша». Скорее всего, increase in the property prices has made or three years will continue to increase in
турецкая недвижимость в перспективе up 116.5% for new and 109.2% for the price by 20-30% per year, as it remains
двух-трёх лет будет продолжать прибав- existing housing. Ksenia Baldzhi explains relatively cheaper as compared with the
лять в цене 20–30% в год, поскольку она such a jump in prices as inflation in the real estate in Europe and the UAE.
остаётся сравнительно дешевле на фоне Turkish economy, which in some places The conditions for buying apartments
недвижимости Европы и ОАЭ. reaches 170%, and an increased demand for the foreigners in Turkey also remain
Условия покупки квартир для иностран- from the foreign investors. quite comfortable without unnecessary
цев в Турции также остаются довольно In 2022, the real estate prices, bureaucracy and financial monitoring.
комфортными — без лишней бюрократии according to the most modest forecasts However, some experts predict the
и финансового мониторинга. Однако не- of the experts, will grow by at least 30%, appearance of “discount” apartments
которые эксперты прогнозируют появ- or even higher - 70%. The rise in the on the market, which the owners will
ление на рынке «дисконтных» квартир, price of the building materials and land be forced to sell. The price for such
которые вынуждены будут продать вла- will continue to push the prices up. So, apartments can be by 30-40% lower than
дельцы. Цена на такие квартиры может in 2021, the cost of metal increased 3 the market price in the secondary market.
быть ниже рыночной на 30–40% на вто- times, and that of cement, sanitary ware At the same time, the primary market will
ричном рынке. В то же время первичный and ceramics, granite and marble for not “sink” as much, since the developers
рынок «не просядет» настолько, посколь- countertops increased 2 times, the price are tied to the constantly rising prices for
ку застройщики привязаны к постоянно of finishing materials increased 2-2.5 the materials and land.
дорожающим материалам и земле. times. Taking into account the methods By the way, in 2021, inflation in Turkey
К слову, в 2021 году инфляция в Турции of the monetary policy of the Central made up 70%, the forecasts for this year
составила 70%, прогнозы на этот год Bank of Turkey, the balance of payments are disappointing. At present, there are no
не утешительны. В настоящее время нет deficit, external government loans, there prerequisites for slowing down inflation
никаких предпосылок для замедления are no real prerequisites for a decrease and devaluation of the lira. Artificial
инфляции и девальвации лиры. Искус- in inflation the next year. According to the measures, such as limiting the provision of
ственные меры, такие как ограничение government's most optimistic forecasts, residence permits to the foreigners in the
предоставления иностранцам ВНЖ в по- inflation could slow down to 20%. But, popular areas of Alanya and other areas
пулярных районах Аланьи и не только, against the background of the expected will ultimately only cause a reputational
в конечном итоге только нанесут репу- price growth in 2022 by 50-70%, such a damage to Turkey as a “reserve airfield”
тационный урон Турции как «запасному forecast seems unattainable. Plus, before for the Russian-speaking expats. On
аэродрому» русскоязычных экспатов. the elections in 2023, the government the other hand, Turkey is in dire need of
С другой стороны, Турция остро нужда- can “turn on” the printing press for various investment to maintain the economy. And
ется в инвестициях для поддержания social benefits. today, in many respects, it depends only
экономики. И сегодня во многом только However, “as long as there is demand, on the Turkish government, which path
от турецкого правительства зависит, there is growth,” - says Ksenia Baldzhi, the country will take - either Turkey will
по какому пути пойдёт страна: станет но- which means that the real estate prices become a new investment hub following
вым инвестиционным хабом по примеру will ultimately be determined by the the example of the UAE, or it will follow a
ОАЭ или же выберет другой путь. investment demand. And the first “hype” different path.

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